NJ report shows ‘moderate’ COVID activity in at least 8 counties
NEW JERSEY – A new report says at least eight counties in New Jersey now have a “moderate” risk of coronavirus transmission as the state has made significant progress over the past month.
South Jersey, Central Jersey and Jersey Shore counties have shown significant progress in coronavirus measurements released this week by the State Department of Health (see details below).
DOH’s “COVID-19 Activity Level Report,” which is released weekly, says activity across the state of New Jersey has remained “moderate” since rising from “high” in mid-April.
The COVID-19 activity level report divides New Jersey into regions and assesses their rates of new cases, COVID-19-like illnesses, and positivity rates.
Gov. Phil Murphy said the new report provides regional measures of health and safety risks “that further guided our decision-making” in reopening New Jersey.
While the report contains positive news, it is also sobering: all New Jersey counties have a new daily case rate that is at a moderate level, which is considered still a little too high to reopen a larger one. part of the state.
“New Jersey has come a long way in fighting this virus, but we’re not out of the woods yet,” Murphy said.
But Murphy also said that since statewide activity is rated as “moderate,” schools can safely reopen for in-person instruction next fall. Read more: NJ lifts COVID travel advisory, orders in-person school next year
Health Commissioner Judith Persichilli said the report realizes the essential nature of having timely and accurate data. “It is essential to have accurate data to inform our response,” she said.
Here’s what the report says:
At least eight counties are at ‘moderate’ risk of coronavirus transmission
The report divides New Jersey into six regions: Northwest, Northeast, Midwest, Central East, Southwest, and Southeast. It then looks at each region and assigns each a “current activity level” based on case rates, COVID-like illnesses, and positivity rates.
Here is a breakdown of the counties contained in each public health region: Northwest: Morris, Passaic, Sussex, Warren; Northeast: Bergen, Essex, Hudson; Central West: Hunterdon, Mercer, Somerset; Center-East: Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean, Union; Southwest: Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem; South East: Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland.
Based on the results, here are the counties of South Jersey, Central Jersey and Jersey Shore that are currently ‘moderate’:
These counties are currently “weak” (some of them have changed from “moderate”):
- Cape May
Here is the map :
The state uses a variety of data to determine the level of activity. Here they are:
- The case rate (per 100,000) is calculated as a proportion of the population – in particular, daily new cases of COVID per 100,000 people. The case rate is followed on average over seven days.
- COVID-like illness (CLI) is defined as fever and cough or dyspnea (shortness of breath, difficulty breathing, etc.) or the presence of coronavirus diagnostic codes. The CLI is monitored as a weekly average of seven days.
- Percent Positivity is the percentage of total positive tests out of all COVID-19 tests performed. The percentage of positivity is followed on average over seven days.
- The COVID-19 Activity Level Index (CALI) score is calculated in this way: in each region, each indicator is assigned a value based on the activity range in which it falls; then, the values are averaged together and this rounded average gives the CALI score; Statewide activity level is calculated by averaging CALI scores for the six regions.
Here is the data for each region, including their activity levels:
State’s COVID Activity Calendar
The DOH says activity across the state of New Jersey is “moderate.” It was “high” at the end of April and May 2020, and “very high” at the end of March and early April of last year.
The moderate label was first awarded even before the state publicly identified a case: February 15, 2020.
Here is the timeline: